War and Money: Who Shapes Ukraine´s Economy Today?
ICEUR Premium Course in Vienna 📅 14–16 July 2025
📍 Federation of Austrian Industries, Vienna
The number of places is limited
📍 Federation of Austrian Industries, Vienna
The number of places is limited
ICEUR Premium Course in Vienna – July 2025
Topic: War and Money – Who Shapes Ukraine’s Economy Today?
This summer, step into the heart of Europe for a transformative three-day experience that merges world-class expertise, deep geopolitical insight, and the refined atmosphere of Vienna.
The ICEUR School of Political Forecasting is proud to host its Annual Premium Course — a unique opportunity to engage in in-person discussions with top international experts, sharpen your strategic foresight, and network with the minds shaping tomorrow's policies.
Based on the information and assessments provided by the lecturers, participants are encouraged to develop software-based forecasts during the practice sessions.
The ICEUR School of Political Forecasting is proud to host its Annual Premium Course — a unique opportunity to engage in in-person discussions with top international experts, sharpen your strategic foresight, and network with the minds shaping tomorrow's policies.
Based on the information and assessments provided by the lecturers, participants are encouraged to develop software-based forecasts during the practice sessions.
As Ukraine faces unprecedented economic challenges amid ongoing conflict, discover how global players—from the IMF to Western allies—shape the country’s financial future. Understand the delicate balance between economic stabilization and political survival.
Political forecasting is the art and science of anticipating future political events, trends, and dynamics based on current data, historical patterns, and analytical models. It empowers individuals and organizations to make informed decisions in an ever-changing geopolitical landscape.
Political forecasting is the art and science of anticipating future political events, trends, and dynamics based on current data, historical patterns, and analytical models. It empowers individuals and organizations to make informed decisions in an ever-changing geopolitical landscape.
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Hands-On Training: Practical workshops and real-world case studies.
Cutting-Edge Techniques: Exclusive tools: Genie 5.0 Bayesian Modeling by Bayes Fusion.
Networking Opportunities: Connect with experts and peers during the opening cocktail reception.
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Program Highlights
Expert Insights: Engage with thought leaders from the World Bank, EBRD, and other top institutions.
The fact that war-torn nations face a devastated economy is unfortunate, but hardly surprising. Ukraine has relied on external loans and grants since gaining independence in 1991. The country has frequently turned to international financial institutions like the International Monetary Fund (IMF), World Bank, and European Union for financial support, particularly during economic crises and conflicts.
Key periods of heavy reliance include:
· 1990s: After independence, Ukraine faced economic collapse and hyperinflation, leading to its first IMF loan in 1994.
· 2008–2009: The global financial crisis forced Ukraine to seek IMF assistance again.
· 2014–2015: After Russia’s annexation of Crimea and the Donbas conflict, Ukraine secured a $17.5 billion IMF bailout and additional EU and U.S. financial aid.
· 2022–Present: Following Russia’s full-scale invasion, Ukraine has depended heavily on Western financial aid, receiving tens of billions in grants and loans from the U.S., EU, IMF, and other allies to sustain its economy and military.
· 1990s: After independence, Ukraine faced economic collapse and hyperinflation, leading to its first IMF loan in 1994.
· 2008–2009: The global financial crisis forced Ukraine to seek IMF assistance again.
· 2014–2015: After Russia’s annexation of Crimea and the Donbas conflict, Ukraine secured a $17.5 billion IMF bailout and additional EU and U.S. financial aid.
· 2022–Present: Following Russia’s full-scale invasion, Ukraine has depended heavily on Western financial aid, receiving tens of billions in grants and loans from the U.S., EU, IMF, and other allies to sustain its economy and military.
Presently, Ukraine is in a quandary between the need to stabilize its fronts and to secure the survival of the main components of the economy. An end to the war is nowhere in sight, although defining moments and decisions may occur as early as this year. The protagonists of this game operate outside of Ukraine. As one British diplomat has aptly noted: “Ukraine is not at the negotiation table, it is on the menu”.
Program
· Representative of World Bank (tbc)
· Sevki Acuner - Former EBRD Country Director for Ukraine
· Oleg Ustenko - Economic Advisor to the President of Ukraine 2019-2024
· Andrew Wilson - Senior policy fellow at the European Council on Foreign Relations. Professor in Ukrainian Studies at University College London
· Svitlana Rekrut – Former Managing Director, Deposit Guarantee Fund, Kyiv
· Elisabeth Schimpfössl - Associate professor in Sociology at Aston University and visiting senior fellow at the LSE’s International Inequalities Institute
· Kyrill Shevchenko - Former chairman of the National Bank of Ukraine
· Vasiliy Astrov – Vienna Institute for International Economic Studies
· Vladislav Inozemtsev – Co-founder & Advisory Council Member, Center for Analysis and Strategies in Europe
· Expert from China (tbc)
· Hans Georg Heinrich – Vice-President, ICEUR-Vienna
· Sevki Acuner - Former EBRD Country Director for Ukraine
· Oleg Ustenko - Economic Advisor to the President of Ukraine 2019-2024
· Andrew Wilson - Senior policy fellow at the European Council on Foreign Relations. Professor in Ukrainian Studies at University College London
· Svitlana Rekrut – Former Managing Director, Deposit Guarantee Fund, Kyiv
· Elisabeth Schimpfössl - Associate professor in Sociology at Aston University and visiting senior fellow at the LSE’s International Inequalities Institute
· Kyrill Shevchenko - Former chairman of the National Bank of Ukraine
· Vasiliy Astrov – Vienna Institute for International Economic Studies
· Vladislav Inozemtsev – Co-founder & Advisory Council Member, Center for Analysis and Strategies in Europe
· Expert from China (tbc)
· Hans Georg Heinrich – Vice-President, ICEUR-Vienna
- · Andrii Fedorchenko - Head of the Department of Marketing named after A.F. Pavlenko
Lecturers
*Some lectures will be held online for greater accessibility.
Discover Vienna
Our cultural program includes:
- 🎨 Private gallery tours & hidden gems of imperial Vienna
- 🍷 Evenings at authentic Heurigen (traditional wine taverns)
- 🏛️ Walks through the city’s rich political and cultural history
This Seminar is Perfect for
- Business executives & investors
- Politicians, diplomats & policymakers
- Risk analysts, consultants & advisors
- Journalists & media specialists
- Academics, researchers & independent thinkers
- Anyone passionate about understanding the forces behind global change
Participation Fees
Online
standard
VIP
Cultural Program (add-on)
€ 190 / person
€ 940 / person
€ 670 / person
€ 290 / person
- airport pick-up
- personal excursion
- personal meeting with lecturer
- help with accommodation booking
- offline lectures
- offline practice
- networking
- Interactive Q&A sessions
- offline lectures
- offline practice
- offline lectures
- offline practice
- networking
- Interactive Q&A sessions
- airport pick-up
- personal excursion
- personal meeting with lecturer
- help with accommodation booking
- walking tour of the city
- trip to the museum
- party
- map with landmarks
- networking
- Interactive Q&A sessions
- airport pick-up
- personal excursion
- personal meeting with lecturer
- help with accommodation booking
Register early and save €100 with EARLYBIRD promo code on your participation fee.
Early bird discount
17
seats
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seats
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Political forecasting is the art and science of anticipating future political events, trends, and dynamics based on current data, historical patterns, and analytical models. It empowers individuals and organizations to make informed decisions in an ever-changing geopolitical landscape.
Political forecasting is the art and science of anticipating future political events, trends, and dynamics based on current data, historical patterns, and analytical models. It empowers individuals and organizations to make informed decisions in an ever-changing geopolitical landscape.
Forecasting
Forecasting is often used interchangeably with predicting. In contrast to forecasting, a prediction is accurate (“Sunrise in Vienna will be at 05a CET tomorrow”). A forecast states the probability of an event (“Expected probability of rainfall today is 60%; “The resignation of the government is highly likely”) Political forecasting intersects with political analysis; it focuses on the elaboration of probable outcomes that may materialize in specific settings.
Forecasting uses quantitative and qualitative tools like Bayesian networks, big data analysis, various Delphi methods, text analysis or simply the use of a deep familiarity with the operation of a given system. Many sophisticated quantitative models do not meet the strict textbook standards and mapping political processes on “hard data” is often quite arbitrary.
Nevertheless, political forecasting needs a solid multi-level analysis of the factors /indicators that together produce a specific outcome or scenario as well as the readiness to learn from past mistakes in order to be less wrong (Nate Silver, The Signal and the Noise, 2012).
Forecasting is often used interchangeably with predicting. In contrast to forecasting, a prediction is accurate (“Sunrise in Vienna will be at 05a CET tomorrow”). A forecast states the probability of an event (“Expected probability of rainfall today is 60%; “The resignation of the government is highly likely”) Political forecasting intersects with political analysis; it focuses on the elaboration of probable outcomes that may materialize in specific settings.
Forecasting uses quantitative and qualitative tools like Bayesian networks, big data analysis, various Delphi methods, text analysis or simply the use of a deep familiarity with the operation of a given system. Many sophisticated quantitative models do not meet the strict textbook standards and mapping political processes on “hard data” is often quite arbitrary.
Nevertheless, political forecasting needs a solid multi-level analysis of the factors /indicators that together produce a specific outcome or scenario as well as the readiness to learn from past mistakes in order to be less wrong (Nate Silver, The Signal and the Noise, 2012).
To find out the prices please contact the administrator
FAQ
(09)
FAQ
Analysts, politicians, economists, business owners, students
In Vienna, in the premises of then Austrian Federation of Industry
English
Yes, we have such a package
Lectures by experts, practical course on the Genie 5:00 program, personal consultations with experts, receipt of closed materials on the topic of the School, cultural program.
Add a suitable course to the cart, fill out the form, pay with any world card, receive confirmation by email
Student discounts for the basic course amount to 30%
No, but we will recommend comfortable and economical hotels near the course site.
Cold drinks and small meals will be provided during the break
Yes, after completing the course, you can order a full set of online lectures.
Yes, in a document which specifies the courses taken and the skills acquired
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The International Center for Eastern Europe Research
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