ICEUR School
of Political Forecasting and Consulting
of Political Forecasting and Consulting
Advanced education for political analysis, international missions, and decision-making under uncertainty.
Under the auspices of the Federal Ministry European and International Affairs Republic of Austria
Under the auspices of the Federal Ministry European and International Affairs Republic of Austria
Core pillars of ICEUR School
A School of Analytical Thinking and Political Forecasting
- Political ForecastingWe focus on forward-looking analysis of political processes, power dynamics, and international developments, moving beyond static assessments toward structured scenario thinking.
- Decision-Making under UncertaintyStudents learn how to work with incomplete, ambiguous, and conflicting information, developing disciplined approaches to judgment and risk-aware decision-making.
- Applied Analytical ThinkingOur programs bridge academic frameworks and real-world application, translating analytical concepts into tools usable in institutional, diplomatic, and operational contexts
- Research-Based EducationICEUR’s educational approach is grounded in the analytical and research work of the ICEUR Institute, ensuring methodological rigor and intellectual continuity between research and teaching..
ICEUR’s educational programs cover key areas of analysis and practical engagement with political and international processes.
Areas of Study at ICEUR
Mission-Oriented Training
Education designed for professionals preparing to work in international missions, crisis environments, and complex institutional contexts.
Political and Strategic Forecasting
Analysis of political dynamics, power structures, and international developments using forward-looking and scenario-based approaches.
Risk and Scenario Analysis
Methods for assessing uncertainty, risks, and alternative outcomes in unstable and rapidly changing environments.
Applied Analytical Methods and Tools
Practical analytical frameworks and tools that support structured reasoning and evidence-based decision-making.
Education designed for professionals preparing to work in international missions, crisis environments, and complex institutional contexts.
Political and Strategic Forecasting
Analysis of political dynamics, power structures, and international developments using forward-looking and scenario-based approaches.
Risk and Scenario Analysis
Methods for assessing uncertainty, risks, and alternative outcomes in unstable and rapidly changing environments.
Applied Analytical Methods and Tools
Practical analytical frameworks and tools that support structured reasoning and evidence-based decision-making.
ICEUR offers a range of analytical and practice-oriented programs developed within independent study cycles and thematic tracks.
Educational Programs at ICEUR
War in Ukraine
Regional Impact of the New World Order
Mission Ready:
Critical Skills for International Work in Crisis Environments
Critical Skills for International Work in Crisis Environments
War in Ukraine
Most Recent Program
Current Program
An in-depth analytical course examining the political, military, and international dimensions of the war in Ukraine, its causes, dynamics, and global implications.
A program focused on the transformation of the international system, shifting power balances, and the emergence of new political and economic configurations
A professional training program designed for specialists preparing to work in international missions, crisis settings, and unstable regions
Education at ICEUR is built around a structured analytical approach that integrates expert knowledge from multiple disciplines within a unified decision-making framework.
ICEUR Methodology and Working with Uncertainty
ICEUR’s methodology is designed for working with uncertainty, incomplete data, and complex interdependent processes.
It is grounded in analytical and scenario-based thinking that allows expert assessments to be formalized and translated into well-founded, traceable conclusions.
At the core of this approach is GeNIe 5.0 — a professional Bayesian modeling environment used as an analytical framework onto which expert knowledge and judgments are systematically integrated.
Within the learning process, GeNIe brings together expertise from diverse fields — political science, economics, geopolitics, demography, as well as first-hand professional experience from work in crisis and conflict environments.
This enables heterogeneous information to be structured within a single model, relationships between factors to be explored, and the impact of changes in one domain on the broader system to be clearly understood.
This approach ensures that analytical conclusions are:
Key elements of the ICEUR methodology
It is grounded in analytical and scenario-based thinking that allows expert assessments to be formalized and translated into well-founded, traceable conclusions.
At the core of this approach is GeNIe 5.0 — a professional Bayesian modeling environment used as an analytical framework onto which expert knowledge and judgments are systematically integrated.
Within the learning process, GeNIe brings together expertise from diverse fields — political science, economics, geopolitics, demography, as well as first-hand professional experience from work in crisis and conflict environments.
This enables heterogeneous information to be structured within a single model, relationships between factors to be explored, and the impact of changes in one domain on the broader system to be clearly understood.
This approach ensures that analytical conclusions are:
- transparent
- reproducible
- explainable to leadership, colleagues, and partners
Key elements of the ICEUR methodology
- GeNIe 5.0 as an analytical framework for expert assessments
- Integration of expertise across multiple disciplines
- Scenario-based and probabilistic analysis
- Linking analytical reasoning with practical experience
Teaching at ICEUR is delivered by scholars and practitioners with extensive academic and professional experience in international and crisis-related contexts.
Faculty and Experts
ICEUR faculty consists of researchers, analysts, and practitioners who combine academic expertise with first-hand experience in international organizations, diplomatic institutions, analytical centers, and field missions in unstable environments.
Faculty members represent a range of disciplines — political science, international relations, security studies, economics, and risk analysis — and work within a shared analytical framework that emphasizes structured reasoning, scenario analysis, and decision-making under uncertainty.
Faculty members represent a range of disciplines — political science, international relations, security studies, economics, and risk analysis — and work within a shared analytical framework that emphasizes structured reasoning, scenario analysis, and decision-making under uncertainty.
- Alongside invited experts and practitioners, a key role in shaping the school’s programs and methodological approach is played by its founders. Their academic work and professional experience provide the intellectual foundation and continuity of ICEUR’s educational model.
Prof. Hans-Georg HEINRICH
Co-founder and Vice President of ICEUR
Professor of political science with a background in law and international studies, he has taught at academic institutions in Vienna and internationally, including as a visiting professor in Europe, the Middle East, and Southeast Asia.
Professor of political science with a background in law and international studies, he has taught at academic institutions in Vienna and internationally, including as a visiting professor in Europe, the Middle East, and Southeast Asia.
Dr. Ludmilla LOBOVA
Co-founder and Scientific Director of ICEUR
Her academic background spans law, history, and political science. She has held research positions at the University of Vienna and the Ludwig Boltzmann Institute for the Consequences of War, and has taught at the Vienna Diplomatic Academy and several institutes of the University of Vienna.
Her academic background spans law, history, and political science. She has held research positions at the University of Vienna and the Ludwig Boltzmann Institute for the Consequences of War, and has taught at the Vienna Diplomatic Academy and several institutes of the University of Vienna.
ICEUR is closely connected to academic and professional institutions through the ongoing work and affiliations of its faculty and experts.
Academic and Institutional Affiliations
ICEUR’s educational programs are embedded in a broader academic and institutional environment.
Faculty members and founders of the school hold permanent or long-term positions at universities, research institutes, and international organizations, and are actively engaged in teaching, research, and professional practice.
These affiliations ensure that ICEUR’s programs remain closely aligned with contemporary academic standards, ongoing research, and real-world institutional experience, rather than operating in isolation from the environments in which political analysis and decision-making take place.
Faculty members and founders of the school hold permanent or long-term positions at universities, research institutes, and international organizations, and are actively engaged in teaching, research, and professional practice.
These affiliations ensure that ICEUR’s programs remain closely aligned with contemporary academic standards, ongoing research, and real-world institutional experience, rather than operating in isolation from the environments in which political analysis and decision-making take place.
- ICEUR does not function as a standalone training platform, but as part of a wider network of academic and professional contexts in which its instructors continuously work and contribute.
ICEUR regularly hosts open webinars and public lectures focused on current international, political, and analytical issues.
Public Lectures and Webinars by ICEUR
Practical analysis, decision-making, and uncertainty management.
This ICEUR School webinar focuses on the most common mistakes made in international, humanitarian, and monitoring missions operating in crisis and post-conflict environments. Drawing on real-life field experience from Afghanistan, Mali, Georgia, Kosovo, and other high-risk regions, seasoned experts from EU, UN, and OSCE missions explain why well-designed mandates often fail in practice - and how proper preparation can significantly reduce those risks.
This ICEUR School webinar focuses on the most common mistakes made in international, humanitarian, and monitoring missions operating in crisis and post-conflict environments. Drawing on real-life field experience from Afghanistan, Mali, Georgia, Kosovo, and other high-risk regions, seasoned experts from EU, UN, and OSCE missions explain why well-designed mandates often fail in practice - and how proper preparation can significantly reduce those risks.
How Training Helps You Avoid Mistakes in Field Missions
Webinar. Learning the Hard Way
Contact the ICEUR Team
If you have questions about our programs, educational formats, or cooperation opportunities, the ICEUR team will be glad to assist you.
You may also reach out via the contact form below.
Please include your name, email address, and a brief description of your inquiry so that we can direct it to the appropriate team member.
Please include your name, email address, and a brief description of your inquiry so that we can direct it to the appropriate team member.
ICEUR welcomes inquiries from prospective students, professionals, researchers, and institutional partners.
You may contact us regarding current and upcoming programs, academic content, certificates, or general information about the school.
We aim to respond promptly and provide clear, structured answers to all inquiries.
You may contact us regarding current and upcoming programs, academic content, certificates, or general information about the school.
We aim to respond promptly and provide clear, structured answers to all inquiries.
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