ICEUR School of Political Forecasting and Consulting
The School equips professionals with cutting-edge skills in political forecasting, combining expert-led theory, real-world case studies, and exclusive access to Genie 5.0 — the powerful modeling tool for probabilistic analysis. Our graduates thrive in government institutions, international organizations, business strategy, and analytical think tanks. Join the program to gain the clarity, structure, and tools needed to understand complex global shifts and anticipate what comes next.
Sponsored by the Federal Ministry for European and Foreign Affairs Republic of Austria
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ICEUR
Discover new horizons with ICEUR!
ICEUR has been one of Europe's leading think tanks for 15 years, delivering its analyses and forecasts to governments, ministries and international organizations. In addition to advising government agencies in different countries (Austria, Germany, France and others), as well as international organizations through individual client-oriented policy analysis, ICEUR also has experience in solving problems for companies operating in post-Soviet countries or planning to enter the market in this region.
The ICEUR School of Political Forecasting is a unique project created at the intersection of academic competence and practical needs of EU political structures, ministries, banks and large corporations.
The ICEUR School of Political Forecasting is a unique project created at the intersection of academic competence and practical needs of EU political structures, ministries, banks and large corporations.
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ICEUR
Political forecasting is the art and science of anticipating future political events, trends, and dynamics based on current data, historical patterns, and analytical models. It empowers individuals and organizations to make informed decisions in an ever-changing geopolitical landscape.
Political forecasting is the art and science of anticipating future political events, trends, and dynamics based on current data, historical patterns, and analytical models. It empowers individuals and organizations to make informed decisions in an ever-changing geopolitical landscape.
WHO IS THIS COURSE FOR?
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POLITICAL FORECASTING
- Diplomats and foreign service professionals. To navigate complex regional shifts with strategic clarity and strengthen policy decision-making.
- Defense and security analysts. To anticipate emerging risks and model future scenarios with precision tools like Genie 5.0.
- Staff of international organizations (OSCE, NATO, EU institutions). To gain a structured view of geopolitical transformations and enhance coordination across regions.
- Political advisors and think tank researchers. To upgrade their analytical frameworks and communicate insights with academic depth and real-world relevance.
- Development and humanitarian professionals. To understand the deeper regional dynamics behind conflict, migration, and instability.
- Journalists and editors. To provide sharper, context-driven reporting rooted in structured analysis — not scattered headlines.
- Academics and graduate students. To enrich their research, sharpen methodologies, and engage with leading European experts.
Academic rigor
Academic rigor meets real-world impact: Courses are built to serve professionals navigating today’s political, economic, and regional volatility.
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ICEUR School offers more than academic excellence — it provides exclusive tools, world-class faculty, and a European perspective grounded in independence and depth.
More than academic excellence
Genie 5.0
Professors
Institutional trust
Faculty of global standing: Professors from LSE, UCL, ECFR, University of Vienna, and other leading institutions.
We collaborate with Austria’s Foreign and Defense Ministries, OSCE, NATO College, and more.
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Why ICEUR School?
Genie 5.0 - the insider´s tool for reasoning under uncertainty
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perspective
What You’ll Gain
After 12 weeks, you’ll walk away with:
“This course gave me not only knowledge, but a practical system to approach uncertainty.”
Graduate,
Summer 2025
- A new ability to forecast developments — not just in politics, but in economics, public health, infrastructure, ESG, and beyond
- New career doors — stand out in applications to international organizations, think tanks, and public institutions
- A network of peers and experts — connect with fellow professionals, analysts, and senior faculty
- Certification (with option for a diploma via final exam) — proof of your competence in political forecasting
Watch Now: ICEUR School Students Speak Out
Insights, impressions, and takeaways from the semester
Alan Vogl
Independent consultant
Vienna
Independent consultant
Vienna
I think what excited me most was seeing how many different sides were brought together in this program. What stood out to me especially was how every speaker made a clear distinction between when they were trying to be objective and when they were sharing a subjective opinion.
Natalia
Professional in international relations,
Kyiv
Professional in international relations,
Kyiv
The course gives you instruments which you can use to analyze different political situations and topics, and provides the opportunity to listen to first class lecturers
Maxim
Foreign Investment Analyst,
Odesa
Foreign Investment Analyst,
Odesa
The lecturers were quite frank, you could ask a question that, probably, they will not reflect the prevailing mood
Julia
Lawyer, Ukraine
Lawyer, Ukraine
I felt like a kind of participant in the process, something so global... It was interesting, gaining knowledge and information, to draw my own scheme of the material that I chose for my forecast, to describe what I see and why
teachers of the school
Our teaching staff is a select group of scientists and practitioners who combine academic excellence with deep insider knowledge in their respective fields. They are committed to the highest scientific standards while representing a broad diversity of opinions, as well as re-gional and institutional affiliations.
Student feedback from the past spring semester confirms their willingness and ability to treat students as equal partners in academic debate and dialogue.
This semester marks an important step forward: our teaching team has fully merged with the school community, strengthening both the quality of instruction and the vibrancy of our shared intellectual environment.
Student feedback from the past spring semester confirms their willingness and ability to treat students as equal partners in academic debate and dialogue.
This semester marks an important step forward: our teaching team has fully merged with the school community, strengthening both the quality of instruction and the vibrancy of our shared intellectual environment.
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Founders of the school
She studied law, history and political science at various Russian higher educational institutions (1984-1994), received a doctorate in philosophy in 1995, and was enrolled in the Faculty of Basic and Integrative Sciences of the University of Vienna. Fellow at FWF (Lise Meitner Postdoctoral Fellowship), Ludwig Boltzmann Institute for the Consequences of Wars. She worked at the Austrian State Archives (Commission of Historians) and the Institute for the Danube Region and Central Europe/Vienna (IDM). A series of lectures and seminars at the Diplomatic Academy of Vienna, at the Institute for the History of Eastern Europe of the University of Vienna, as well as at the Institute of Political Science of the University of Vienna.
She is currently vice-president and manager of the International Center for Eastern Europe Research (ICEUR).
Publications on Russia's foreign and security policy, Austrian and international politics, political Islam and ethno-political conflicts in the post-Soviet space.
She is currently vice-president and manager of the International Center for Eastern Europe Research (ICEUR).
Publications on Russia's foreign and security policy, Austrian and international politics, political Islam and ethno-political conflicts in the post-Soviet space.
He studied law, political science and foreign languages at the University of Vienna. Lecturer at training centers affiliated with U.S. universities. Headed the Department of Political Science at the University of Vienna. Visiting professor in the USA, Europe and Asia. Worked in various field missions and OSCE representations: Tbilisi, Chechnya, Belgrade. Co-founder of ICEUR-Vienna and currently its vice-president. Publications on Soviet, Russian and Eastern European Politics. Able to communicate in 12 languages.
Prof. Hans-Georg HEINRICH
Dr. Ludmilla LOBOVA
The courses are developed and conducted jointly by Ludmilla Lobova, Ph.D., and Hans-Georg Heinrich, Professor Emeritus of Political Science.
Political forecasting is the art and science of anticipating future political events, trends, and dynamics based on current data, historical patterns, and analytical models. It empowers individuals and organizations to make informed decisions in an ever-changing geopolitical landscape.
Political forecasting is the art and science of anticipating future political events, trends, and dynamics based on current data, historical patterns, and analytical models. It empowers individuals and organizations to make informed decisions in an ever-changing geopolitical landscape.
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Winter Semester
Topic: Regional Impact of The New World Order
The course “Regional Impact of the New World Order” examines how these global shifts are playing out on the regional level—politically, economically, socially, and culturally. Students will analyze how selected regions such as Eastern Europe and the Indo-Pacific are responding to and shaping global trends. Emphasis will be placed on regional integration, security dynamics, economic development, and the role of regional organizations and local actors in a multipolar world.
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ICEUR Diploma
ICEUR Diploma: Your Key to Success!
Final Exam
After completing a full course of lectures and workshops, you will receive a diploma of a graduate of the ICEUR-Vienna School, confirming your professionalism and expert skills.
The prerequisite for the award of a diploma is the presentation of a forecasting model created by the student on a specific topic. Preferably, GeNIe 5.0 software (Bayes Fusion) should be used. The assessment criterion is the complexity of the model
- The ICEUR Diploma is an international recognition in the field of forecasting and analysis.
- Personal recommendations – for top graduates looking for a job, we provide recommendations based on your academic success
Forecasting
Forecasting is often used interchangeably with predicting. In contrast to forecasting, a prediction is accurate (“Sunrise in Vienna will be at 05a CET tomorrow”). A forecast states the probability of an event (“Expected probability of rainfall today is 60%; “The resignation of the government is highly likely”) Political forecasting intersects with political analysis; it focuses on the elaboration of probable outcomes that may materialize in specific settings.
Forecasting uses quantitative and qualitative tools like Bayesian networks, big data analysis, various Delphi methods, text analysis or simply the use of a deep familiarity with the operation of a given system. Many sophisticated quantitative models do not meet the strict textbook standards and mapping political processes on “hard data” is often quite arbitrary.
Nevertheless, political forecasting needs a solid multi-level analysis of the factors /indicators that together produce a specific outcome or scenario as well as the readiness to learn from past mistakes in order to be less wrong (Nate Silver, The Signal and the Noise, 2012).
Forecasting is often used interchangeably with predicting. In contrast to forecasting, a prediction is accurate (“Sunrise in Vienna will be at 05a CET tomorrow”). A forecast states the probability of an event (“Expected probability of rainfall today is 60%; “The resignation of the government is highly likely”) Political forecasting intersects with political analysis; it focuses on the elaboration of probable outcomes that may materialize in specific settings.
Forecasting uses quantitative and qualitative tools like Bayesian networks, big data analysis, various Delphi methods, text analysis or simply the use of a deep familiarity with the operation of a given system. Many sophisticated quantitative models do not meet the strict textbook standards and mapping political processes on “hard data” is often quite arbitrary.
Nevertheless, political forecasting needs a solid multi-level analysis of the factors /indicators that together produce a specific outcome or scenario as well as the readiness to learn from past mistakes in order to be less wrong (Nate Silver, The Signal and the Noise, 2012).
To find out the prices please contact the administrator
Political forecasting is the art and science of anticipating future political events, trends, and dynamics based on current data, historical patterns, and analytical models. It empowers individuals and organizations to make informed decisions in an ever-changing geopolitical landscape.
Political forecasting is the art and science of anticipating future political events, trends, and dynamics based on current data, historical patterns, and analytical models. It empowers individuals and organizations to make informed decisions in an ever-changing geopolitical landscape.
FAQ
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FAQ
Yes. We teach forecasting methods applicable across fields — politics, economics, security, ESG, healthcare, and more. What matters is strategic thinking.
Absolutely. You'll receive step-by-step training with live demos. Genie becomes a practical tool, not a technical burden.
Yes. ICEUR collaborates with the Austrian Foreign and Defense Ministries, OSCE, NATO College — the course is built with these careers in mind.
A lecture or exercise lasts about 60 minutes.
Two sessions per week, plus recordings you can watch anytime. The format is flexible and designed for working professionals.
Two sessions per week, plus recordings you can watch anytime. The format is flexible and designed for working professionals.
No. We teach ICEUR’s unique methodology and give you hands-on experience with Genie 5.0 — unavailable elsewhere in Europe.
You’ll gain both: deep analytical frameworks and practical skills through modeling, casework, and scenario-building.
A certificate (or diploma after a final exam), mastery of forecasting tools, and a new level of analytical confidence.
Yes. Alumni advance in diplomacy, NGOs, international organizations, and consulting. This course sets you apart.
Definitely. You’ll join live lectures, Q&A sessions, and case discussions with globally recognized experts.
Direct transfers to the ICEUR account are possible.
The course fee must be paid with the note "School" to the following account: ICEUR-Vienna; IBAN AT502011129025715500; BIC GIBAATWW.
The course fee must be paid with the note "School" to the following account: ICEUR-Vienna; IBAN AT502011129025715500; BIC GIBAATWW.
Yes, you can. The amount can be paid to the ICEUR account in two parts.
The first installment must be paid by October 15.
The second - by November 15
If you pay by bank transfer – see section Can I pay by bank transfer?
The first installment must be paid by October 15.
The second - by November 15
If you pay by bank transfer – see section Can I pay by bank transfer?
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CONTACTS
Breitenseer Strasse 19/24 - 26A, Wien 1140
The International Center for Eastern Europe Research
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In an era of global uncertainty, the ability to forecast political and economic developments has never been more critical. At ICEUR School, we equip our students with cutting-edge forecasting skills through rigorous analysis, advanced modeling, and computer-assisted inference.
Our courses are built on the extensive expertise of our faculty across these key disciplines. For scenario building and predictive inference, we utilize Genie 5.0 a powerful modeling software developed by BayesFusion LLC. Widely employed by leading international corporations and government agencies in the U.S. and Canada, Genie 5.0 is at the forefront of modern forecasting technology. ICEUR School is the only academic institution specializing in political forecasting that integrates this advanced tool into its curriculum.
Our instructors, trained in the application of Genie 5.0, incorporate real-world case studiesinto their lectures, covering a broad range of geopolitical and strategic topics. Additionally, we provide ongoing, interactive tutoring through dedicated Telegram channels, ensuring continuous support and engagement for our students.
Graduates of our program gain valuable expertise that opens doors to consulting and advisory roles in government agencies, multinational corporations, and think tanks worldwide.
Join ICEUR School and take the first step toward mastering the art and science of political forecasting.
Graduates of our program gain valuable expertise that opens doors to consulting and advisory roles in government agencies, multinational corporations, and think tanks worldwide.
Join ICEUR School and take the first step toward mastering the art and science of political forecasting.
GeNie 5.0
Webinar registration
Speaker With: Dr. John LOUGH
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