ICEUR School of Political Forecasting and Consulting
Mission Ready: Critical Skills for International Work in Crisis Environments
● 6 online sessions - Certificate ● Taught by seasoned field experts (UN, OSCE) ● Access to GeNIe 5.0 forecasting software € 500 Affordable High-Impact training
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ICEUR School of Political Forecasting under the auspices of
the Austrian Ministry of European and International Affairs
...offers you the opportunity to obtain a certificate in the specialization Operational Work in Crisis Regions by completing the six-day course Mission Ready: Critical Skills for International Work in Crisis Environments.
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1. Your Path to an International Certificate For
Operational Work in Crisis Regions
Just 6 online sessions
A concise, intensive program taught by field practitioners with 30+ years of experience in UN and OSCE missions.
Insights you won’t hear in theoretical courses
Real methods, field-tested decisions, and operational standards used in unstable environments.
Hands-on training with GeNIe 5.0
Risk analysis and scenario modeling with the world’s leading Bayesian software. ICEUR is the only official representative of BayesFusion GeNIe in Europe.
Learn anytime
All sessions are available in recorded format for flexible access.
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Field missions today demand more than good intentions.
From fragile post-war regions to volatile crisis zones — success depends on clear analysis, operational foresight, and personal resilience. This course bridges the gap between humanitarian passion and analytical precision, helping professionals act effectively under pressure.
2. You will master essential skills to:
Assess complex and uncertain environments
Identify principal risks, underlying drivers of instability, and plausible scenario trajectories in line with established analytical frameworks.
Apply Bayesian reasoning for forecasting
Enhance the reliability and evidentiary basis of assessments in contexts characterized by limited, sensitive, or fragmented information.
Present findings clearly and concisely
Formulate concise, actionable recommendations for mission leadership in accordance with institutional reporting standards.
Operate safely and ethically in field environments
Adhere to internationally recognized codes of conduct, mission-specific procedures, and operational risk mitigation protocols.
Use GeNIe 5.0 for risk analysis and scenario planning
Employ probabilistic modeling tools to analyse risk factors, evaluate potential outcomes, and support decision-making processes.
Field experts with extensive experience in multiple international missions across crisis regions
• Master’s degree in Sinology and a PhD in Political Science from the University of Vienna. • Study and work stays in the PR China, Taiwan, and Cambodia. • International assignments in the South Caucasus (Georgia, Armenia). • Service in CSDP missions: EUMM Georgia (2008–2010), EUPOL Afghanistan (2011–2013), and EUCAP Sahel Mali. • OSCE deployment to Eastern Ukraine, SMMU, Luhansk region (2015–2017). • Lecturer in Comparative Politics and International Relations at the University of Vienna (1994–1998, 2007–2008) and the University of Salzburg (1996, 2013, 2016–2019). • Since 2010, author of various IFK publications. Research focus: China, South Caucasus, European security policy, human security.
• Studied law, political science, and foreign languages at the University of Vienna. • Visiting professorships in Europe,Asia and the Near East Field work in Cambodia (UNAMIC, GTZ). • Headed the Department of Political Science at the University of Vienna. • Served as a visiting professor in the USA, Europe, and Asia. • Worked in various OSCE field missions and representations: Tbilisi, Chechnya, Belgrade. • Co-founder of ICEUR-Vienna and currently its vice president. • Author of publications on Soviet, Russian, and Eastern European politics. • Able to communicate in 12 languages. Research focus: Northern and Southern Caucasus, the Balkans
I think what excited me most was seeing how many different sides were brought together in this program. What stood out to me especially was how every speaker made a clear distinction between when they were trying to be objective and when they were sharing a subjective opinion.
Julia
Lawyer, Ukraine
The lecturers were quite frank, you could ask a question that, probably, they will not reflect the prevailing mood
The course gives you instruments which you can use to analyze different political situations and topics, and provides the opportunity to listen to first class lecturers
I felt like a kind of participant in the process, something so global... It was interesting, gaining knowledge and information, to draw my own scheme of the material that I chose for my forecast, to describe what I see and why
9. Your Certificate
Operational Work in Crisis Regions
Your internationally recognized certificate confirming your readiness to work in high-risk and unstable environments in line with UN and OSCE standards.
An internationally recognized certificate confirming your readiness to work in high-risk and unstable environments in line with UN, OSCE, and NATO standards. It validates your ability to: • assess situations with incomplete information • apply field safety procedures • operate in multinational teams • maintain operational readiness in crisis regions • model risks using GeNIe 5.0
ICEUR is the only official representative of BayesFusion GeNIe in Europe, making your certificate uniquely valuable for your professional profile.
10. FAQ
Frequently Asked Questions
This program is ideal for those preparing to work — or already working — in international missions: humanitarian organizations, NGOs, think tanks, UN structures, OSCE, EU missions, media, and university research projects. It suits both beginners and professionals seeking to strengthen their analytical and operational mission skills.
No. Experience is helpful but not required. The curriculum is structured to guide you from foundational skills to professional-level mission readiness, even if you’re starting from zero.
Format: Online · 6 live sessions, plus access to materials. All sessions take place via Zoom and include interactive exercises, discussions, case study simulations, and hands-on work with GeNIe 5.0.
Yes. After completing all 6 sessions and assignments, you will receive an official ICEUR certificate, certifying your readiness for international mission work.
GeNIe 5.0 is a professional decision-analysis and risk-forecasting software developed by BayesFusion. It is used by NATO, leading universities, and security analysts. You will learn to apply it to real missions — from threat assessment to scenario simulations and operational planning.
About 70% practical. Each session is based on real cases from Afghanistan, Mali, Ukraine, the Sahel, the Balkans, the Caucasus, and other crisis regions. Instructors draw directly from their field experience in NATO, UN, OSCE, and EU missions.
Yes. The program is offered under the auspices of the Austrian Ministry of European and International Affairs, which reinforces its academic and professional credibility.
The course is conducted in English. All slides and materials are also provided in English.
Tuition: €500. Regional discounts and scholarships are available — contact us to check eligibility based on your region or institutional affiliation.
Yes. You will gain full access to all previous session recordings and can catch up smoothly at your own pace.
Each live session lasts 1.5–2 hours. Assignments take 1–2 additional hours per week. The overall workload is designed to be manageable for working professionals.
A standard laptop is sufficient (Windows; macOS via emulation). You need stable internet, Zoom, and the ability to run lightweight analytical software such as GeNIe 5.0.
Yes. Graduates use this certificate when applying to UN missions, OSCE, EU projects, NGOs, research centers, and university programs. Skills in forecasting, risk modeling, and scenario analysis are highly valued by mission security and analytical units.
Yes. A two-part payment plan is available upon request.
All sessions are recorded. You will receive the recordings, materials, and the opportunity to ask follow-up questions directly to the instructor.
• Real field experience, not just theory • Hands-on training with GeNIe 5.0, used by NATO and top universities • Instructors with genuine mission background • Backed by the Austrian Ministry of Foreign Affairs • A Certificate that strengthens your mission-related career prospects